Middle East Tensions Push Japan’s Aluminium Prices Higher as Gulf Imports Fall 13% – 2 June 2026

Summary:

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have disrupted key maritime shipping lanes, severely impacting global primary aluminium supply lines. Japan, a heavily dependent importer of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) primary metal, has seen its imports plummet by 13%, triggering a sharp spike in regional spot prices. Because primary smelting relies heavily on these energy-rich hubs, the ongoing shipping gridlock is accelerating a global deficit forecast at nearly 1.4 million tonnes for 2026—driving LME spot prices upward. Extrusion manufacturers should brace for volatile billet premiums and potential freight surcharges.

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